Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 59.349570 67.494888 75.876292 85.111823 94.970612 105.149431 116.422831
2025-06-29 46.304893 57.814658 70.259991 84.578004 100.464335 117.431367 136.806109
2025-07-06 37.395773 50.422933 65.075798 82.487941 102.346976 124.052764 149.341043
2025-07-13 33.621669 48.207529 65.124599 85.716598 109.670246 136.274753 167.693757
2025-07-20 29.988572 45.644035 64.337680 87.597532 115.131937 146.141000 183.185818
2025-07-27 25.888651 42.035288 61.917175 87.214877 117.684398 152.463097 194.468685
2025-08-03 22.254061 38.628027 59.423017 86.462091 119.564511 157.819734 204.485556
2025-08-10 19.683942 36.359953 58.142101 87.008137 122.843550 164.690177 216.158053
2025-08-17 16.998509 33.650348 56.074051 86.387925 124.561521 169.607023 225.462527
2025-08-24 14.965592 31.660093 54.790490 86.626811 127.225293 175.568672 235.933471
2025-08-31 12.780744 29.202160 52.696489 85.673014 128.292809 179.527783 243.967575
2025-09-07 11.531739 28.062614 52.326233 86.900532 132.039872 186.689072 255.790299
2025-09-14 10.425123 27.061182 52.111114 88.332920 136.082014 194.277723 268.230752
2025-09-21 8.837758 25.059162 50.328044 87.561629 137.245631 198.304333 276.373443
2025-09-28 7.130775 22.589796 47.678921 85.464747 136.585760 199.994853 281.620273
2025-10-05 6.829243 22.704465 48.918875 88.754235 142.947674 210.415509 297.497952
2025-10-12 6.261207 22.226240 49.202164 90.674499 147.498398 218.573886 310.624353
2025-10-19 5.294005 20.794319 47.900976 90.283909 148.949260 222.816468 318.938773
2025-10-26 4.376192 19.296537 46.390528 89.515809 149.840860 226.315125 326.311562
2025-11-02 3.782228 18.415556 45.824340 90.072983 152.480261 232.009634 336.386214
2025-11-09 3.083679 17.128538 44.491275 89.440125 153.466402 235.570508 343.799550
2025-11-16 2.588742 16.241490 43.777759 89.683887 155.616316 240.601868 353.032240
2025-11-23 2.017336 14.969567 42.298870 88.710589 156.050894 243.398198 359.456226